Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

58%

U. Catolica

1.72

23%

Draw

4.28

18%

Union La Calera

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.62

0.87

Union La Calera xG

58%
23%
18%
U. CatolicaDrawUnion La Calera

1.72

58%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

42%

U. Catolica

2.39

17%

Union La Calera

5.77

Win to Nil

24%

U. Catolica

4.10

3%

Union La Calera

31.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.7 11.1 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.5 5.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.752
λ Away (xG) 0.871
Total xG 2.623
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.149
U. Catolica attack strength 0.981
U. Catolica defence strength 0.869
Union La Calera attack strength 0.873
Union La Calera defence strength 1.248
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59