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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

59%

U. Catolica

1.70

22%

Draw

4.51

19%

Union Espanola

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.85

0.97

Union Espanola xG

59%
22%
19%
U. CatolicaDrawUnion Espanola

1.70

59%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

38%

U. Catolica

2.64

15%

Union Espanola

6.59

Win to Nil

22%

U. Catolica

4.48

3%

Union Espanola

34.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.9 10.5 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.4 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.886
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.855
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.090
U. Catolica attack strength 1.043
U. Catolica defence strength 1.059
Union Espanola attack strength 0.839
Union Espanola defence strength 1.224
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50