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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Thu 2 Apr 2026

22:00

Venue

Claro Arena

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

59%

U. Catolica

1.68

22%

Draw

4.55

19%

Palestino

5.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.88

0.97

Palestino xG

59%
22%
19%
U. CatolicaDrawPalestino

1.68

59%

Home win

4.55

22%

Draw

5.35

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

38%

U. Catolica

2.63

15%

Palestino

6.73

Win to Nil

23%

U. Catolica

4.44

3%

Palestino

36.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 10.4 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.1 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.907
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.875
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.104
U. Catolica attack strength 1.196
U. Catolica defence strength 0.985
Palestino attack strength 0.890
Palestino defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37