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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

41%

U. Catolica

2.43

29%

Draw

3.46

30%

Palestino

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.20

0.99

Palestino xG

41%
29%
30%
U. CatolicaDrawPalestino

2.43

41%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

37%

U. Catolica

2.69

30%

Palestino

3.36

Win to Nil

15%

U. Catolica

6.56

9%

Palestino

11.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.9 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.3 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.1 8.0 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.3 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.212
λ Away (xG) 0.991
Total xG 2.203
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.149
U. Catolica attack strength 0.892
U. Catolica defence strength 0.876
Palestino attack strength 0.985
Palestino defence strength 0.911
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57