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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 10 Oct 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

44%

U. Catolica

2.25

26%

Draw

3.78

29%

Nublense

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.52

1.10

Nublense xG

44%
26%
29%
U. CatolicaDrawNublense

2.25

44%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

33%

U. Catolica

3.00

24%

Nublense

4.15

Win to Nil

15%

U. Catolica

6.75

7%

Nublense

14.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 8.8 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.4 12.6 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 8.9 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.423
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.115
U. Catolica attack strength 1.088
U. Catolica defence strength 0.959
Nublense attack strength 1.027
Nublense defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52