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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

62%

U. Catolica

1.62

22%

Draw

4.44

16%

Everton de Vina

6.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.81

0.87

Everton de Vina xG

62%
22%
16%
U. CatolicaDrawEverton de Vina

1.62

62%

Home win

4.44

22%

Draw

6.39

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

42%

U. Catolica

2.39

14%

Everton de Vina

6.94

Win to Nil

26%

U. Catolica

3.86

2%

Everton de Vina

44.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.7 10.2 4.4 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.9 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.3 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.5 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.938
λ Away (xG) 0.870
Total xG 2.808
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 0.928
U. Catolica attack strength 1.075
U. Catolica defence strength 0.995
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.943
Everton de Vina defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 38