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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

67%

U. Catolica

1.50

20%

Draw

4.89

13%

Deportes Limache

7.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

3.02

0.85

Deportes Limache xG

67%
20%
13%
U. CatolicaDrawDeportes Limache

1.50

67%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

7.87

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

43%

U. Catolica

2.34

11%

Deportes Limache

8.76

Win to Nil

29%

U. Catolica

3.49

1%

Deportes Limache

68.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.6 9.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
2 11.5 9.8 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 8.3 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 4.5 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.170
λ Away (xG) 0.849
Total xG 3.019
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 0.993
U. Catolica attack strength 1.075
U. Catolica defence strength 0.954
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.896
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.350
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 7