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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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U. Catolica cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Concepción.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

U. Catolica beat Concepción 2-0 at Claro Arena, Regular Season - 2, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting U. Catolica 1.80 xG and Concepción 0.85 xG, a combined 2.65. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Concepción landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of U. Catolica attack 0.99 / defence 0.97 against Concepción attack 0.89 / defence 1.20, drawn from 31/1 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it U. Catolica 60% | Draw 23% | Concepción 17%, with U. Catolica to win its most likely call at 60%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights