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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

44%

U. Catolica

2.26

28%

Draw

3.52

27%

Cobresal

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

2.22

0.94

Cobresal xG

44%
28%
27%
U. CatolicaDrawCobresal

2.26

44%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

39%

U. Catolica

2.57

28%

Cobresal

3.60

Win to Nil

17%

U. Catolica

5.81

8%

Cobresal

13.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.2 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.9 13.1 6.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 8.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.281
λ Away (xG) 0.943
Total xG 2.224
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.114
U. Catolica attack strength 1.064
U. Catolica defence strength 0.961
Cobresal attack strength 0.881
Cobresal defence strength 0.824
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50