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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 11 Oct 2026

21:00

Venue

Claro Arena

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

66%

U. Catolica

1.51

19%

Draw

5.39

15%

A. Italiano

6.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

3.29

1.00

A. Italiano xG

66%
19%
15%
U. CatolicaDrawA. Italiano

1.51

66%

Home win

5.39

19%

Draw

6.65

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

37%

U. Catolica

2.71

10%

A. Italiano

9.88

Win to Nil

25%

U. Catolica

4.08

2%

A. Italiano

65.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.6 8.5 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.8 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.5 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 4.3 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.291
λ Away (xG) 0.997
Total xG 3.288
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
U. Catolica attack strength 1.362
U. Catolica defence strength 1.056
A. Italiano attack strength 0.788
A. Italiano defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45