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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

51%

Palestino

1.98

28%

Draw

3.62

22%

Universidad de Chile

4.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.37

0.88

Universidad de Chile xG

51%
28%
22%
PalestinoDrawUniversidad de Chile

1.98

51%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.60

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

41%

Palestino

2.42

23%

Universidad de Chile

4.41

Win to Nil

21%

Palestino

4.78

5%

Universidad de Chile

20.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 8.3 3.7 1.1 0.2
1 13.9 12.3 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.1 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.1 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.485
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 0.921
Palestino attack strength 0.959
Palestino defence strength 0.937
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.024
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 36