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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 22 Nov 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

57%

Palestino

1.75

24%

Draw

4.14

19%

Union La Calera

5.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.52

0.84

Union La Calera xG

57%
24%
19%
PalestinoDrawUnion La Calera

1.75

57%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

5.34

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

43%

Palestino

2.32

19%

Union La Calera

5.35

Win to Nil

25%

Palestino

4.07

3%

Union La Calera

28.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.5 11.4 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.3 5.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.677
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Palestino attack strength 1.018
Palestino defence strength 0.885
Union La Calera attack strength 0.795
Union La Calera defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45