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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

45%

Palestino

2.23

34%

Draw

2.92

21%

Union La Calera

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.03

0.78

Union La Calera xG

45%
34%
21%
PalestinoDrawUnion La Calera

2.23

45%

Home win

2.92

34%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

46%

Palestino

2.19

29%

Union La Calera

3.48

Win to Nil

20%

Palestino

4.88

6%

Union La Calera

16.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 10.3 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 16.4 12.8 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.2 8.0 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 4.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.247
λ Away (xG) 0.784
Total xG 2.031
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.071
Palestino attack strength 0.981
Palestino defence strength 0.958
Union La Calera attack strength 0.764
Union La Calera defence strength 0.858
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36