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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

50%

Palestino

1.99

24%

Draw

4.24

26%

Huachipato

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.93

1.19

Huachipato xG

50%
24%
26%
PalestinoDrawHuachipato

1.99

50%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

30%

Palestino

3.28

18%

Huachipato

5.70

Win to Nil

15%

Palestino

6.53

5%

Huachipato

21.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.3 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 11.1 6.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.6 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.7 5.6 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.741
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 2.930
League avg home goals 1.429
League avg away goals 1.139
Palestino attack strength 0.998
Palestino defence strength 0.979
Huachipato attack strength 1.067
Huachipato defence strength 1.222
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59