Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

57%

Palestino

1.76

22%

Draw

4.56

21%

D. La Serena

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Palestino xG

Total xG

3.05

1.11

D. La Serena xG

57%
22%
21%
PalestinoDrawD. La Serena

1.76

57%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

33%

Palestino

3.03

14%

D. La Serena

6.94

Win to Nil

19%

Palestino

5.34

3%

D. La Serena

32.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.2 10.2 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.938
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 3.046
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.116
Palestino attack strength 0.999
Palestino defence strength 0.954
D. La Serena attack strength 1.041
D. La Serena defence strength 1.256
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41