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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

67%

Palestino

1.48

21%

Draw

4.83

12%

Concepción

8.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Palestino xG

Total xG

2.57

0.65

Concepción xG

67%
21%
12%
PalestinoDrawConcepción

1.48

67%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

8.43

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

52%

Palestino

1.92

15%

Concepción

6.78

Win to Nil

35%

Palestino

2.85

2%

Concepción

57.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.7 9.6 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 14.1 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 9.0 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
5 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.914
λ Away (xG) 0.653
Total xG 2.567
League avg home goals 1.572
League avg away goals 1.106
Palestino attack strength 1.134
Palestino defence strength 0.924
Concepción attack strength 0.638
Concepción defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 10