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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio El Teniente

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

O'Higgins Win

41%

O'Higgins

2.44

30%

Draw

3.38

29%

U. Catolica

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

O'Higgins xG

Total xG

2.11

0.94

U. Catolica xG

41%
30%
29%
O'HigginsDrawU. Catolica

2.44

41%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

39%

O'Higgins

2.57

31%

U. Catolica

3.22

Win to Nil

16%

O'Higgins

6.28

9%

U. Catolica

10.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 11.4 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 7.8 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.170
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 2.115
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 0.905
O'Higgins attack strength 0.918
O'Higgins defence strength 1.054
U. Catolica attack strength 0.991
U. Catolica defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 39