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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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O'Higgins cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Deportes Limache.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

O'Higgins beat Deportes Limache 3-1 at Estadio El Teniente, Regular Season - 6, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting O'Higgins 1.32 xG and Deportes Limache 0.96 xG, a combined 2.28. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. O'Higgins beat their projection by 1.7 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of O'Higgins attack 0.75 / defence 1.02 against Deportes Limache attack 0.85 / defence 1.22, drawn from 35/5 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it O'Higgins 43% | Draw 32% | Deportes Limache 25%, with O'Higgins to win its most likely call at 43%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights