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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

22:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

32%

Nublense

3.15

31%

Draw

3.23

37%

Universidad de Chile

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Nublense xG

Total xG

1.98

1.04

Universidad de Chile xG

32%
31%
37%
NublenseDrawUniversidad de Chile

3.15

32%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

35%

Nublense

2.84

39%

Universidad de Chile

2.55

Win to Nil

11%

Nublense

8.96

15%

Universidad de Chile

6.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 14.4 7.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 12.9 13.5 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 6.1 6.3 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.937
λ Away (xG) 1.044
Total xG 1.981
League avg home goals 1.610
League avg away goals 1.095
Nublense attack strength 0.901
Nublense defence strength 1.026
Universidad de Chile attack strength 0.929
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.646
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38