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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

38%

Nublense

2.67

28%

Draw

3.54

34%

Universidad de Chile

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.31

1.12

Universidad de Chile xG

38%
28%
34%
NublenseDrawUniversidad de Chile

2.67

38%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

33%

Nublense

3.07

30%

Universidad de Chile

3.28

Win to Nil

12%

Nublense

8.18

10%

Universidad de Chile

9.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.1 6.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.8 13.2 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 7.9 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.309
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 1.038
Nublense attack strength 0.841
Nublense defence strength 1.065
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.014
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45