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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

47%

Nublense

2.14

26%

Draw

3.86

27%

Union La Calera

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.57

1.08

Union La Calera xG

47%
26%
27%
NublenseDrawUnion La Calera

2.14

47%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

34%

Nublense

2.94

23%

Union La Calera

4.44

Win to Nil

16%

Nublense

6.30

6%

Union La Calera

16.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.4 12.3 6.6 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.491
λ Away (xG) 1.079
Total xG 2.570
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Nublense attack strength 0.906
Nublense defence strength 1.136
Union La Calera attack strength 0.793
Union La Calera defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45