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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

45%

Nublense

2.23

34%

Draw

2.93

21%

Union La Calera

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

20.2%

Draw

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Nublense xG

Total xG

1.60

0.59

Union La Calera xG

45%
34%
21%
NublenseDrawUnion La Calera

2.23

45%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

48%

Over 1.5

2.08

52%

Under 1.5

1.92

22%

Over 2.5

4.55

78%

Under 2.5

1.28

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

28%

BTTS Yes

3.53

72%

BTTS No

1.40

Clean Sheet

55%

Nublense

1.80

36%

Union La Calera

2.75

Win to Nil

25%

Nublense

4.01

8%

Union La Calera

13.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.2 11.9 3.5 0.7 0.1
1 20.4 12.0 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 10.3 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.012
λ Away (xG) 0.589
Total xG 1.601
League avg home goals 1.566
League avg away goals 0.895
Nublense attack strength 0.784
Nublense defence strength 0.866
Union La Calera attack strength 0.760
Union La Calera defence strength 0.825
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39