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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

58%

Nublense

1.73

25%

Draw

3.99

17%

Union Espanola

5.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.33

0.74

Union Espanola xG

58%
25%
17%
NublenseDrawUnion Espanola

1.73

58%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

5.77

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

48%

Nublense

2.10

20%

Union Espanola

4.89

Win to Nil

27%

Nublense

3.64

4%

Union Espanola

28.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.5 11.5 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 9.1 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.5 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.588
λ Away (xG) 0.741
Total xG 2.329
League avg home goals 1.464
League avg away goals 1.094
Nublense attack strength 0.885
Nublense defence strength 0.892
Union Espanola attack strength 0.759
Union Espanola defence strength 1.226
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 51