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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

23:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

46%

Nublense

2.16

26%

Draw

3.83

28%

U. Catolica

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.54

1.07

U. Catolica xG

46%
26%
28%
NublenseDrawU. Catolica

2.16

46%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

34%

Nublense

2.92

23%

U. Catolica

4.35

Win to Nil

16%

Nublense

6.29

6%

U. Catolica

15.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.6 12.4 6.6 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.1 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.5 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.470
λ Away (xG) 1.070
Total xG 2.540
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.013
Nublense attack strength 0.918
Nublense defence strength 0.863
U. Catolica attack strength 1.225
U. Catolica defence strength 1.118
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34