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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

42%

Nublense

2.41

28%

Draw

3.54

30%

U. Catolica

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.29

1.03

U. Catolica xG

42%
28%
30%
NublenseDrawU. Catolica

2.41

42%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

36%

Nublense

2.80

28%

U. Catolica

3.52

Win to Nil

15%

Nublense

6.72

9%

U. Catolica

11.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.5 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.1 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 8.3 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.258
λ Away (xG) 1.028
Total xG 2.286
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.123
Nublense attack strength 0.893
Nublense defence strength 1.025
U. Catolica attack strength 0.893
U. Catolica defence strength 0.920
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33