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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

17:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

32%

Nublense

3.17

29%

Draw

3.45

40%

Palestino

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.21

1.18

Palestino xG

32%
29%
40%
NublenseDrawPalestino

3.17

32%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

31%

Nublense

3.26

36%

Palestino

2.78

Win to Nil

10%

Nublense

10.35

14%

Palestino

7.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 13.0 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.8 6.8 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.024
λ Away (xG) 1.183
Total xG 2.207
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.079
Nublense attack strength 0.873
Nublense defence strength 0.999
Palestino attack strength 1.097
Palestino defence strength 0.783
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48