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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

52%

Nublense

1.91

28%

Draw

3.58

20%

D. La Serena

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.38

0.84

D. La Serena xG

52%
28%
20%
NublenseDrawD. La Serena

1.91

52%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

43%

Nublense

2.33

22%

D. La Serena

4.64

Win to Nil

23%

Nublense

4.44

4%

D. La Serena

23.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 7.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 14.2 12.0 5.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.2 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.6 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.534
λ Away (xG) 0.845
Total xG 2.379
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 0.961
Nublense attack strength 0.764
Nublense defence strength 0.929
D. La Serena attack strength 0.946
D. La Serena defence strength 1.366
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 8