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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coquimbo Unido Win

31%

Nublense

3.20

32%

Draw

3.16

37%

Coquimbo Unido

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.10

1.11

Coquimbo Unido xG

31%
32%
37%
NublenseDrawCoquimbo Unido

3.20

31%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

33%

Nublense

3.03

37%

Coquimbo Unido

2.70

Win to Nil

10%

Nublense

9.70

14%

Coquimbo Unido

7.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 13.6 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.1 13.5 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.0 6.7 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.993
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.101
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 0.981
Nublense attack strength 0.843
Nublense defence strength 1.043
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.084
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.792
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37