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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

48%

Nublense

2.07

26%

Draw

3.86

26%

Concepción

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Nublense xG

Total xG

2.52

1.02

Concepción xG

48%
26%
26%
NublenseDrawConcepción

2.07

48%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

36%

Nublense

2.78

22%

Concepción

4.49

Win to Nil

17%

Nublense

5.75

6%

Concepción

17.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.1 12.3 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Nublense attack strength 0.906
Nublense defence strength 1.135
Concepción attack strength 0.751
Concepción defence strength 1.029
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15