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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Huachipato run riot with a 5-1 hammering of Universidad de Concepcion.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Huachipato beat Universidad de Concepcion 5-1 at Estadio Huachipato, Regular Season - 8, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Huachipato 1.68 xG and Universidad de Concepcion 0.98 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 5-1 for 6 actual goals. Huachipato beat their projection by 3.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Huachipato attack 1.00 / defence 1.12 against Universidad de Concepcion attack 0.82 / defence 1.07, drawn from 37/7 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Huachipato 54% | Draw 24% | Universidad de Concepcion 22%, with Huachipato to win its most likely call at 54%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. Over 3.5 was 28% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights