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Primera División · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 9 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Huachipato Win

40%

Huachipato

2.50

23%

Draw

4.30

37%

Everton de Vina

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Huachipato xG

Total xG

3.23

1.58

Everton de Vina xG

40%
23%
37%
HuachipatoDrawEverton de Vina

2.50

40%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

21%

Huachipato

4.85

19%

Everton de Vina

5.22

Win to Nil

8%

Huachipato

12.13

7%

Everton de Vina

14.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.2 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 6.5 10.3 8.1 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.5 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.0 4.7 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.652
λ Away (xG) 1.578
Total xG 3.230
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Huachipato attack strength 1.163
Huachipato defence strength 1.192
Everton de Vina attack strength 1.105
Everton de Vina defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45