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Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 23 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Huachipato Win

54%

Huachipato

1.85

20%

Draw

5.10

26%

Deportes Limache

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Huachipato xG

Total xG

3.97

1.62

Deportes Limache xG

54%
20%
26%
HuachipatoDrawDeportes Limache

1.85

54%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

37%

Over 4.5

2.70

63%

Under 4.5

1.59

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.38

27%

BTTS No

3.64

Clean Sheet

20%

Huachipato

5.05

10%

Deportes Limache

10.49

Win to Nil

11%

Huachipato

9.34

3%

Deportes Limache

39.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
1 4.4 7.2 5.8 3.1 1.3 0.4
2 5.2 8.4 6.8 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 4.1 6.6 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.4
4 2.4 3.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.350
λ Away (xG) 1.620
Total xG 3.970
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Huachipato attack strength 1.163
Huachipato defence strength 1.192
Deportes Limache attack strength 1.135
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.256
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45