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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Huachipato cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over D. La Serena.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Huachipato beat D. La Serena 3-1 at Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero, Regular Season - 6, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Huachipato 2.21 xG and D. La Serena 0.83 xG, a combined 3.04. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Huachipato attack 1.24 / defence 0.87 against D. La Serena attack 0.87 / defence 1.21, drawn from 35/5 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Huachipato 67% | Draw 21% | D. La Serena 11%, with Huachipato to win its most likely call at 67%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 36% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights