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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 23 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Sausalito

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Everton de Vina Win

55%

Everton de Vina

1.82

24%

Draw

4.11

21%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Everton de Vina xG

Total xG

2.59

0.93

Universidad de Concepcion xG

55%
24%
21%
Everton de VinaDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.82

55%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

40%

Everton de Vina

2.52

19%

Universidad de Concepcion

5.30

Win to Nil

22%

Everton de Vina

4.60

4%

Universidad de Concepcion

25.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.5 11.5 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.3 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.667
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 2.593
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.759
Everton de Vina defence strength 0.941
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.821
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.365
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15