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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Sausalito

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Everton de Vina Win

53%

Everton de Vina

1.89

26%

Draw

3.89

21%

D. La Serena

4.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Everton de Vina xG

Total xG

2.41

0.87

D. La Serena xG

53%
26%
21%
Everton de VinaDrawD. La Serena

1.89

53%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

4.71

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

42%

Everton de Vina

2.38

21%

D. La Serena

4.66

Win to Nil

22%

Everton de Vina

4.50

5%

D. La Serena

21.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.8 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 13.9 12.0 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.3 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.5 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.538
λ Away (xG) 0.869
Total xG 2.407
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.092
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.926
Everton de Vina defence strength 0.951
D. La Serena attack strength 0.837
D. La Serena defence strength 1.154
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 21