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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Sausalito

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Everton de Vina Win

45%

Everton de Vina

2.20

29%

Draw

3.48

26%

A. Italiano

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Everton de Vina xG

Total xG

2.16

0.89

A. Italiano xG

45%
29%
26%
Everton de VinaDrawA. Italiano

2.20

45%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

41%

Everton de Vina

2.43

28%

A. Italiano

3.58

Win to Nil

19%

Everton de Vina

5.34

7%

A. Italiano

13.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 10.2 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.7 13.0 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.3 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.0 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.274
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 2.160
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.757
Everton de Vina defence strength 0.940
A. Italiano attack strength 0.786
A. Italiano defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45