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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 23 May 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT
📰

Deportes Limache cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Universidad de Chile.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Deportes Limache beat Universidad de Chile 2-0 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 12, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.25 xG and Universidad de Chile 1.23 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Universidad de Chile landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.78 / defence 1.08 against Universidad de Chile attack 1.20 / defence 1.05, drawn from 11/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 37% | Draw 27% | Universidad de Chile 36%, with Deportes Limache to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights

Model Over/Under 2.5 landed as modelled — 45% Over 2.5 probability, 2 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 51% projected, one side was shut out.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.