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Deportes Limache cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Universidad de Chile.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Deportes Limache beat Universidad de Chile 2-0 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 12, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.25 xG and Universidad de Chile 1.23 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Universidad de Chile landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.78 / defence 1.08 against Universidad de Chile attack 1.20 / defence 1.05, drawn from 11/39 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 37% | Draw 27% | Universidad de Chile 36%, with Deportes Limache to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.