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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 23 May 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

37%

Deportes Limache

2.71

27%

Draw

3.69

36%

Universidad de Chile

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.49

1.23

Universidad de Chile xG

37%
27%
36%
Deportes LimacheDrawUniversidad de Chile

2.71

37%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

29%

Deportes Limache

3.43

29%

Universidad de Chile

3.50

Win to Nil

11%

Deportes Limache

9.30

10%

Universidad de Chile

9.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.3 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 12.9 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 6.5 8.1 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.7 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.252
λ Away (xG) 1.233
Total xG 2.485
League avg home goals 1.538
League avg away goals 0.945
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.776
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.084
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.203
Universidad de Chile defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 39