Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

21:30

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

67%

Deportes Limache

1.49

20%

Draw

4.89

13%

Union La Calera

7.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.67

0.71

Union La Calera xG

67%
20%
13%
Deportes LimacheDrawUnion La Calera

1.49

67%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

7.97

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

49%

Deportes Limache

2.03

14%

Union La Calera

7.12

Win to Nil

33%

Deportes Limache

3.03

2%

Union La Calera

56.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.6 9.6 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 8.7 6.2 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 4.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
5 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.963
λ Away (xG) 0.708
Total xG 2.671
League avg home goals 1.533
League avg away goals 1.123
Deportes Limache attack strength 1.188
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.797
Union La Calera attack strength 0.790
Union La Calera defence strength 1.078
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37