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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

01:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

66%

Deportes Limache

1.51

19%

Draw

5.27

15%

U. Catolica

6.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

3.17

0.94

U. Catolica xG

66%
19%
15%
Deportes LimacheDrawU. Catolica

1.51

66%

Home win

5.27

19%

Draw

6.78

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

39%

Deportes Limache

2.57

11%

U. Catolica

9.21

Win to Nil

26%

Deportes Limache

3.88

2%

U. Catolica

62.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.4 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.4 9.8 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 7.3 3.4 1.1 0.3
4 4.3 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.220
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 3.165
League avg home goals 1.574
League avg away goals 1.101
Deportes Limache attack strength 1.352
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.713
U. Catolica attack strength 1.205
U. Catolica defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41