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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Palestino edge out Deportes Limache 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Palestino beat Deportes Limache 0-1 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 11, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.10 xG and Palestino 1.30 xG, a combined 2.40. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Deportes Limache fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.88 / defence 1.14 against Palestino attack 1.28 / defence 0.82, drawn from 10/40 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 31% | Draw 27% | Palestino 41%, with Palestino to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 69% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights