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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

31%

Deportes Limache

3.18

27%

Draw

3.64

41%

Palestino

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.40

1.30

Palestino xG

31%
27%
41%
Deportes LimacheDrawPalestino

3.18

31%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

27%

Deportes Limache

3.68

33%

Palestino

3.01

Win to Nil

9%

Deportes Limache

11.71

14%

Palestino

7.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 11.8 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.5 7.1 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.101
λ Away (xG) 1.302
Total xG 2.403
League avg home goals 1.532
League avg away goals 0.891
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.881
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.142
Palestino attack strength 1.279
Palestino defence strength 0.816
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 40