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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Deportes Limache cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Deportes Iquique.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Deportes Limache beat Deportes Iquique 2-0 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 7, in the Primera División. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.53 xG and Deportes Iquique 1.45 xG, a combined 2.98. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Deportes Iquique landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.91 / defence 1.42 against Deportes Iquique attack 0.99 / defence 1.12, drawn from 6/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 38% | Draw 28% | Deportes Iquique 34%, with Deportes Limache to win its most likely call at 38%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights