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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Deportes Limache Win

51%

Deportes Limache

1.95

26%

Draw

3.85

23%

D. La Serena

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

2.43

0.91

D. La Serena xG

51%
26%
23%
Deportes LimacheDrawD. La Serena

1.95

51%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

40%

Deportes Limache

2.49

22%

D. La Serena

4.55

Win to Nil

21%

Deportes Limache

4.86

5%

D. La Serena

19.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.1 3.7 1.1 0.3
1 13.4 12.2 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.2 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.515
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 2.429
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.149
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.897
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.870
D. La Serena attack strength 0.914
D. La Serena defence strength 1.180
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 29