Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido – Match Report

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Coquimbo Unido edge out Deportes Limache 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Coquimbo Unido beat Deportes Limache 1-2 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 3, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.04 xG and Coquimbo Unido 1.50 xG, a combined 2.54. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.77 / defence 1.11 against Coquimbo Unido attack 1.19 / defence 0.83, drawn from 2/32 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 26% | Draw 26% | Coquimbo Unido 48%, with Coquimbo Unido to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights