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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Deportes Limache cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Cobresal.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Deportes Limache beat Cobresal 2-0 at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Regular Season - 24, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Deportes Limache 1.15 xG and Cobresal 1.03 xG, a combined 2.19. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Deportes Limache beat their projection by 0.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Cobresal landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Deportes Limache attack 0.84 / defence 0.97 against Cobresal attack 0.93 / defence 0.88, drawn from 23/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Deportes Limache 38% | Draw 29% | Cobresal 32%, with Deportes Limache to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Deportes Limache 52%, Cobresal 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Deportes Limache's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.

Cobresal's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Cobresal arrived the stronger side — 1.65 PPG against 0.78. Form was overturned, with Deportes Limache winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Deportes Limache (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Cobresal (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights