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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Tue 12 Aug 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

32%

Deportes Limache

3.12

31%

Draw

3.24

37%

A. Italiano

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Deportes Limache xG

Total xG

1.99

1.04

A. Italiano xG

32%
31%
37%
Deportes LimacheDrawA. Italiano

3.12

32%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

35%

Deportes Limache

2.83

39%

A. Italiano

2.58

Win to Nil

11%

Deportes Limache

8.86

14%

A. Italiano

6.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7 14.3 7.4 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 13.0 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.1 6.4 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.946
λ Away (xG) 1.042
Total xG 1.988
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.085
Deportes Limache attack strength 0.698
Deportes Limache defence strength 0.996
A. Italiano attack strength 0.965
A. Italiano defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 48