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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

31%

Deportes Iquique

3.22

25%

Draw

4.03

44%

A. Italiano

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Deportes Iquique xG

Total xG

2.83

1.56

A. Italiano xG

31%
25%
44%
Deportes IquiqueDrawA. Italiano

3.22

31%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

21%

Deportes Iquique

4.76

28%

A. Italiano

3.56

Win to Nil

7%

Deportes Iquique

15.33

12%

A. Italiano

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.2 7.2 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 7.5 11.7 9.1 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.8 7.4 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.269
λ Away (xG) 1.560
Total xG 2.829
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.074
Deportes Iquique attack strength 0.903
Deportes Iquique defence strength 1.290
A. Italiano attack strength 1.125
A. Italiano defence strength 0.941
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46