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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

54%

D. La Serena

1.84

25%

Draw

3.95

20%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.42

0.85

Universidad de Concepcion xG

54%
25%
20%
D. La SerenaDrawUniversidad de Concepcion

1.84

54%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

4.94

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

43%

D. La Serena

2.33

21%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.81

Win to Nil

23%

D. La Serena

4.29

4%

Universidad de Concepcion

23.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.0 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.3 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.8 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.571
λ Away (xG) 0.848
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 0.967
D. La Serena attack strength 0.830
D. La Serena defence strength 1.191
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.736
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.289
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 3