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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 13 Sep 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

44%

D. La Serena

2.29

28%

Draw

3.62

29%

Universidad de Chile

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.34

1.02

Universidad de Chile xG

44%
28%
29%
D. La SerenaDrawUniversidad de Chile

2.29

44%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

36%

D. La Serena

2.77

27%

Universidad de Chile

3.75

Win to Nil

16%

D. La Serena

6.35

8%

Universidad de Chile

13.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 13.0 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.323
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.342
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
D. La Serena attack strength 1.044
D. La Serena defence strength 1.032
Universidad de Chile attack strength 0.824
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.788
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45